So these numbers are very different from the numbers I posted a few days ago (older numbers in parentheses).
AMLO 36% (44)
Madrazo 25% (18)
Creel 24% (17)
That's an eight point swing for all of the candidates in the two different polls. The dates of the polls were the same, but the ones in parentheses were done by phone while the numbers posted today come from in-person interviews. I'm wondering if the questions were different, if the pollsters pushed harder for answers or if the samples were different. I really don't have anything beyond the results, so I can't be sure.
Two other articles. El Universal reports that Creel may announce his resignation tomorrow to start campaigning full time. Also, good article in English on the difficulties that AMLO faces in finding support outside the capital. The information in that article probably links directly back to some of the poll divergences.
0 comments:
Post a Comment