OAS Meeting: Success or Failure for the US?

A little bit of everything actually.

Where we succeeded:
  • The issue of democracy was one of the top agenda items on the table.
  • Democracy will remain a top point at the next meeting.
  • Nearly every country understands the need to reform the OAS.
  • The need for reform was emphasized by Bolivia's collapse (a Pyrrhic victory)
  • The importance of civil society was recognized, even if no greater access was granted.
  • Secretary Rice, on message.
  • The OAS Secretary-General now has slightly expanded powers to bring issues to the floor.
Where we failed:
  • The US proposal for an "early warning" committee at which civil society groups can testify was defeated.
  • The media portrayed the meeting as a huge defeat of the US, and worse, a victory for Chavez. I would say it was a draw, but that's not how any media outside of the Miami Herald and a few conservative Latin American papers portrayed it.
  • Bolivia collapsed politically. While it showed the OAS was impotent, it wasn't worth the price being paid by Bolivians.
  • Venezuela dragged the US off message on Bolivia. Our little scuffle did nothing but strengthen Chavez.
  • Nicaragua's internal political problems received little attention in spite of a request by the president (however, Insulza will be headed there soon).
  • Virtually no movement on Haiti. (within the OAS framework, some movement on the US side).
The unknowns:
  • How did the meetings behind the scenes go?
  • Will the OAS be able to handle the responsibility if China forces the UN out of Haiti?
  • Free trade and economics? Lots of talk, but no movement in any direction from what I've seen.
  • President Bush's speech? It was a good speech and I think most Latin Americans saw it as better than expected. However, he only gave a 13 minute speech when a 50 minute speech was scheduled. That's actually a perfect metaphor for the US's entire Latin America policy.

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