New Venezuela poll numbers

The Miami Herald has the new poll numbers that were released a few days ago in El Nacional. I can't access the El Nacional poll online, but here are the numbers I've been able to find from the Miami Herald and various other sources.

Chavez's approval rating is over 70% in the new poll. However, the government only has an approval rating of 55%.

It should also be noted that the Catholic Church and the Venezuelan media, both of which criticize Chavez, get higher approval ratings than Chavez at 80% and 75% respectively.

Unemployment and lack of security remain the top two complaints in the country.

55% of Venezuelans plan on not voting in the upcoming municipal elections next month.

Rejection of the Cuban model for Venezuela is at 63%. Acceptance of a Cuban model for Venezuela has increased from 3% to 11%. Just under 30% support Chavez's idea for a "new socialism" for Venezuela. George Bush and American style capitalism don't do any better, scoring somewhere in the mid-teens.

It looks like Chavez is popular as a person, but that his government and his ideology are not doing so well in Venezuela. This leaves the opposition two options: criticize "Hugo Chavez" or criticize the "Venezuelan government". The first strategy goes after Chavez's strength, his personality and charisma, in the hopes of wearing it down. The second goes after his weakness, the failures of his government and particularly its failure to help ordinary Venezuelans.

Of course, the second strategy would also require some discipline and moderation by the opposition, and that has not been their strength in recent years...

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