Happy Thursday everyone. Latin America poll number roundup time.
To start, Uruguay's La Republica published a huge poll listing the presidential approval ratings throughout the Americas. I can't find the original article, but articles about the poll can be found here and here.
Here's the numbers (I'll update if I find the full poll):
Kirchner (Argentina) 77%
Uribe (Colombia) 71%
Rodriguez (Bolivia) 63%
Chavez (Venezuela) 61%
Lagos (Chile) 61%
Vazquez (Uruguay) 55%
Lula da Silva (Brazil) 50%
Bush (USA) 46%
Torrijos (Panama) 34%
Bolanos (Nicaragua) 29%
Toledo (Peru) 14%
In Mexico, the PRI primary polling has Madrazo with 46% and Montiel with 45%.
Tim has the most recent poll from El Salvador, showing 31% supporting ARENA and 16% supporting the FMLN and he questions whether a centrist party may form.
La Prensa in Nicaragua did a huge survey of Nicaraguan voters. Lots of graphs and charts here and here on which institutions people trust and who people blame for the country's problems. Also, nearly three out of four voters believe there will be fraud in the upcoming election.
In Costa Rica, the most recent poll has former President Arias over 40% again, which would allow a win in the first round.
From Colombia, today's LA Times had an article about Uribe's continued high rates of popularity. No new numbers, but some analysis of why Uribe remains popular and seems to avoid criticism.
Recent polls in Brazil (also here) don't look great for Lula. The good news for him is that he retains some personal popularity that may allow him to bounce back.
Miguel Centellas has the polls from Bolivia showing Evo Morales in the lead with 28%, but he believes those numbers are soft (and I agree). Another new poll has Morales with 26% and Quiroga with 22%.
In Peru, Flores continues to lead, but Garcia sees a jump in this poll. Still nobody manages to get over 30%.
Bachelet still leads in Chile. Also in Chile, about a third of people support and another third of people oppose a proposed law to give lesser sentences to military officers who abused human rights under Pinochet's government.
Thanks to Angus Reid for pulling together lots of poll data. About a quarter of my links come from there, the rest of the links are from various news searches and things I see during the week. I don't make any claims to the validity of the polls I see, I just report them. Feel free to add more numbers in the comment section, or talk about the numbers here.
2 comments:
Where and when is your source for the U.S. numbers? 46%? Really?
The source on the 46% is the Uruguayan newspaper story. I know it's higher than most recent polls. I'm just reporting the results; I can't vouch for the poll.
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