POLL NUMBERS!!! 4 polls in Venezuela
Following Chavez's win in the reelection referendum in February, most pollsters showed Chavez maintaining around a 55%-60% approval rating. However, there are some signs that he's lost a few points over the past two months. It will take a few more months to know whether that's a real trend or if it's just the typical up and down movement with the economy and oil prices.
Datanalisis made some news when their March poll numbers showed a 61% approval rating for Chavez. However, those numbers dropped to 59% in April and 55% in May according to some early reports.
Keller has reported a similar drop. At the beginning of this year, 56% of Venezuelans said the situation in the country was going well or very well. That number has dropped to 46% as of May, with 54% viewing the situation negatively.
Keller also notes (via Caracas Chronicles) that for the first time since mid-2004, Chavez loses against a generic opponent 47-41. Back in early 2006, he was winning that same question in Keller's poll 60-32.
IVAD says 51% of people believe things are going in the wrong direction, but that only 25% blame the president as the major cause of problem in the country. That poll also indicated 50% disapprove of Chavez's government, but did not give an approval rating.
A poll in April from GIS had Chavez at 67% approval. That poll has Chavez winning a generic presidential matchup 54-33.
Finally, worth noting, the one thing every poll has in common is that people are worried about crime and security issues. No matter how that question is phrased, it consistently comes in as the top concern in the country by the vast majority of citizens, Chavista, opposition or ni-ni. This is the leading problem for the government and one they should be concerned about.
Datanalisis made some news when their March poll numbers showed a 61% approval rating for Chavez. However, those numbers dropped to 59% in April and 55% in May according to some early reports.
Keller has reported a similar drop. At the beginning of this year, 56% of Venezuelans said the situation in the country was going well or very well. That number has dropped to 46% as of May, with 54% viewing the situation negatively.
Keller also notes (via Caracas Chronicles) that for the first time since mid-2004, Chavez loses against a generic opponent 47-41. Back in early 2006, he was winning that same question in Keller's poll 60-32.
IVAD says 51% of people believe things are going in the wrong direction, but that only 25% blame the president as the major cause of problem in the country. That poll also indicated 50% disapprove of Chavez's government, but did not give an approval rating.
A poll in April from GIS had Chavez at 67% approval. That poll has Chavez winning a generic presidential matchup 54-33.
Finally, worth noting, the one thing every poll has in common is that people are worried about crime and security issues. No matter how that question is phrased, it consistently comes in as the top concern in the country by the vast majority of citizens, Chavista, opposition or ni-ni. This is the leading problem for the government and one they should be concerned about.
Labels: latinamerica, polls, Venezuela |
